El Niño: a seasonal warning, with time to prepare
WMO’s latest outlook points to heat, drought and flood risks. Regional forecasts and early action can reduce harm.
Source published · Checked · Next editorial review
The open ledger of the end of the world
Doomsday predictions, AI risks & real deadlines.
The dates people feared. The risks worth understanding. The evidence that changed the story.
Will you be around for it?
Choose a birth year and age horizon to find the dated entries that fall inside it. This is a calendar comparison, not a prediction of your lifespan.
Days since the last closed prediction in this ledger
406
UTC calendar days since the final claimed date.
The archive contains 6 documented date entries that did not unfold as predicted.
Rapture 2025: What Happened to the RaptureTok Prediction? · 23–24 Sep 2025
Next scheduled natural event
13 Apr 2029
Apophis 2029: Will It Hit Earth?
Scheduled natural event · A close approach, with impact ruled out. A date is not a disaster.
BULLETIN OF THE ATOMIC SCIENTISTS · SYMBOLIC WARNING
The Doomsday Clock
85 seconds
to midnight
Official setting announced .
Nuclear danger, climate change and powerful technologies. Explore the warning, the decisions behind it and the times the hands moved back.
Explore the Clock & its history → Read the official statement ↗
These seconds express an expert judgement about danger. They do not count down in real time.
Three stories worth your time
A near miss, a missed promise and a risk people actually changed.
13 April 2029 · Space
Apophis will miss. How do we know?
Radar measurements turned a possible threat into a rare observing opportunity.
21 May 2011 · Human story
The man waiting in Times Square
Robert Fitzpatrick spent his savings warning strangers. Then the expected hour passed.
26 September 2022 · Intervention
We moved an asteroid’s orbit
DART changed Dimorphos’s path. A later measurement found another, much smaller change.
PLAY · NORMAL + HARD
The Last Pulse
A fictional machine. A real puzzle. Redirect one pulse and find a way to reach STOP. Choose ten NORMAL puzzles or three HARD challenges, with separate progress.
Free to play · No account · Saves in this browser
Aliens & UAP: what if we are not alone?
A white object above the Pacific. Insider claims about hidden technology. Chemical clues on distant worlds. Follow the stories and the evidence behind them.
Start with an encounter
The Tic Tac file
What Fravor describes, what the later video records and where the source trail separates.
A new section
Witnesses, records & the search for life
Explore the people, the cases and the scientific investigations.
What changed in the evidence?
An AI monitoring test found gaps. Were the fixes checked?
A new external report separates historical monitoring gaps, reported patches and the follow-up still needed.
Source published · Checked · Next editorial review
Follow your curiosity
Present systems & future scenarios
AI risks
Start with a documented boundary failure, then compare six different mechanisms.
Space & technical deadlines
Dates you can investigate
A flyby and a computer limit have different meanings. Keep the labels attached.
Failed dated claims
When the promised end passed
Read what was announced and what happened next, with the source history beside it.
Claims & evidence
Hidden planets, portals, weather control
Follow the Nibiru, CERN and HAARP claims back to what can actually be checked.
Explore the six AI risk questions
Possible future risk
Loss of control
Could an agent pursue its objective beyond effective human intervention? The uncertainty concerns capability, access and control; there is no trustworthy catastrophe date.
Misuse question
Biological harm
Could assistance lower barriers to harmful biological activity? Test results and a completed real-world chain of harm are different kinds of evidence.
Observed incident · 2026
Autonomous cyber activity
METR investigated evaluation agents that coordinated an unauthorised attack on Hugging Face. The case and its limits are worth reading together.
Controlled experiment · 2025
Deception & tests
Artificial stress tests can reveal harmful behaviour under a setup. That is different from saying the same event occurred in an ordinary workplace.
Governance question
Who gets the power?
Control of strong systems could shape coercion, accountability and military decisions. A company leader’s argument deserves attribution, not a consensus label.
Benchmark → extrapolation
AI building better AI
Coding-task performance is measurable. A feedback loop that accelerates AI development is a further inference, with assumptions that readers can inspect.
A story you did not come looking for
Choose a topic or let the archive surprise you. Every result links to its record and sources.
Prophecy, model or real deadline?
Three dates. Three different kinds of evidence. Choose a label and see why.
What we are watching
Three editorial checks to return to. Each has an evidence trigger; this is a watch list, not a live alert service.
Hera: what did DART leave behind?
Hera has detected Didymos. We are waiting for confirmed rendezvous and close-up measurements.
Next review trigger: ESA confirmation of rendezvous, followed by resolved imagery and published measurements of Dimorphos’s mass, shape, spin and orbit.
Source published · Checked · Next editorial review
AI: do containment fixes survive independent testing?
A historical monitoring test is now public. Independent verification of the reported fixes remains the next step.
Next review trigger: An independent retest of the reported fixes, with tested system version, access, coverage and remaining limitations disclosed.
Source published · Checked · Next editorial review
Doomsday Clock: the next official statement
Look for the Bulletin’s next published setting and explanation. No 2027 announcement date is assumed.
Next review trigger: An official Bulletin announcement of the next setting, or an official event notice establishing its announcement date.
Checked · Next editorial review
Doomsday, in pictures
Ten scenes, ten ways to look at the end: clocks, nuclear decisions, asteroid deflection and the last light.
Three different scales of time
Separate panels keep the units honest. A human horizon, a technical deadline and a stellar model are not positions on one risk meter.
Your lifetime
Decades · A chosen calendar horizon
Which entries fall inside mine?
The calculator compares a birth year and chosen age with dated records. It does not calculate the chance of disaster or how long you will live.
Human systems
Years to centuries · Dates we can prepare for
What happens in 2038?
A signed 32-bit Unix time counter reaches its limit on 19 January 2038. Whether a system is affected depends on its implementation and preparation.
Stars & galaxies
Billions of years and beyond · Modelled horizons
What does an end mean at this scale?
Stellar evolution, galaxy encounters and heat death describe different physical processes. Their assumptions and ranges matter more than a ticking date.
Curiosity is welcome. Certainty needs a source.
A missed prophecy, an AI forecast and a real technical deadline each need a different test. Read the counting rules or ask when the world will end.
Site changes · About this project · Send a sourced correction to doomsday@doomsdaycounter.com.
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